Deprecated: Hook jetpack_pre_connection_prompt_helpers is deprecated since version jetpack-13.2.0 with no alternative available. in /hermes/bosnacweb04/bosnacweb04ay/b1602/nf.whysel/public_html/decisionfish.com/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6078 Warning: Cannot modify header information - headers already sent by (output started at /hermes/bosnacweb04/bosnacweb04ay/b1602/nf.whysel/public_html/decisionfish.com/wp-includes/functions.php:6078) in /hermes/bosnacweb04/bosnacweb04ay/b1602/nf.whysel/public_html/decisionfish.com/wp-includes/feed-rss2.php on line 8 probability Archives – Decision Fish: Decide For Yourself https://www.decisionfish.com/tag/probability/ Decision Fish: Decide For Yourself Wed, 09 Aug 2023 21:22:21 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.2 https://i0.wp.com/www.decisionfish.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/cropped-squircle-df-vr-page-001-2-1.jpg?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 probability Archives – Decision Fish: Decide For Yourself https://www.decisionfish.com/tag/probability/ 32 32 100758046 The Roots of Decision Making: Decision Trees https://www.decisionfish.com/decision-trees/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=decision-trees Tue, 17 Jan 2017 10:59:00 +0000 http://www.decisionfish.com/?p=1759 I’ve learned (and re-learned) a lot from tutoring middle-schoolers in math at Top Honors.1 For example, if a math problem is too hard to solve in your head, I counsel my student to draw a picture. That’s one of the best features of decision trees: it allows you to draw a roadmap for complicated, multi-stage ... Read more

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Framing 1, Facts 0? https://www.decisionfish.com/framing-1-facts-0/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=framing-1-facts-0 https://www.decisionfish.com/framing-1-facts-0/#comments Tue, 22 Mar 2016 01:52:13 +0000 http://decisionfish.com/?p=729 When we make decisions, we often take the way they are presented to us at face value. Maybe a sales person offers you a menu of investment options or maybe a single recommendation; either way, you can bet a lot of thought went into the architecture of the choice presented to you. Amos Tversky and Daniel ... Read more

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Bias Among Us: How to Influence Others & Ourselves https://www.decisionfish.com/bias-among-us-how-to-manipulate-others-and-ourselves/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bias-among-us-how-to-manipulate-others-and-ourselves Tue, 29 Sep 2015 12:43:28 +0000 https://bwhysel.wordpress.com/?p=112 A bias is an unconscious, natural and immediate prejudice or tendency to a particular action. Bias-driven decisions may or may not be consistent with that which may result from a more deliberative or thoughtful process. Biases can be harmful: think of prejudices in employment, housing and education. They can be helpful as when we slam on ... Read more

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